Tips & Predictions
Saturday’s 28/1 Arsenal v Brentford Bet Builder
Published
10 months agoon
BET BUILDER
Arsenal -1
Each Groups to Rating
Kai Havertz to Rating
Over 10.5 Corners
Over 3.5 Playing cards
All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to vary.
Arsenal v Brentford
Premier League match on the Emirates Stadium, London
TV: Sky Sports activities Premier League/Most important Occasion, Saturday, 5:30pm
What a possibility this weekend presents for Arsenal. Beat Brentford on Saturday night and they’ll rise to the Premier League summit, and if Liverpool draw with Manchester Metropolis the next day, they’ll nonetheless be there till after the forthcoming worldwide break.
It gained’t make them favourites to win the title, they go to the Etihad for of their following Premier League match, however it is going to be a wonderful place during which to be after being written off in December.
Brentford want a consequence too, even when this doesn’t fall into ‘should win’ territory. The Bees begin the weekend six factors away from the relegation zone and the hole might be down to a few by the point this match kicks off. Can Thomas Frank’s boys assist themselves and deal the Gunners’ title hopes a extreme blow?
Arsenal -1
The Premier League conferences of those groups have tended to be shut. Arsenal wanted an 89th minute objective from Kai Havertz to win the reverse fixture in November whereas Brentford drew 1-1 on the Emirates Stadium final season. In keeping with anticipated objectives, the Bees ought to even have gained that sport. Nonetheless, that is the issue if you take a look at Brentford and xG, the info typically favours them, the outcomes not a lot.
The underlying numbers recommend the guests have a a lot better likelihood of a constructive consequence than the percentages suggest however you’ll be able to’t again them primarily based on each groups’ data in 2023/24.
The Gunners have performed 12 league matches in opposition to the groups who begin the day within the backside eight of the Premier League desk and gained the lot by an combination scoreline of 39-6. That’s not excellent news for a Brentford aspect that has misplaced all seven away matches in opposition to the present high 9 and to every of the highest 4 at house too.
With Arsenal having gained its final 5 league video games by not less than two objectives (and a median of 4.4), they may certainly beat an out-of-form Brentford by that margin too.
Each Groups to Rating
A possible consider a lot of Arsenal’s success during the last two seasons is that Mikel Arteta has been capable of preserve a constant beginning XI. He made only one change per league match final season, the fewest within the Premier League, and it has solely risen to 1.7 this time period even with the addition of Champions League soccer.
However one change will likely be enforced right here as David Raya can’t face his mum or dad membership. Former primary Aaron Ramsdale will are available in, however he hasn’t performed in two months and has conceded in all 4 matches he has performed on the Emirates this season. It’ll be a protracted night for the Bees however they need to make sure that Each Groups to Rating lands.
Kai Havertz to Rating
Arsenal’s final seven objective scorers have been completely different gamers. Their most in-form man over their final 10 league video games is Bukayo Saka, with eight objectives, however he was substituted at half time of the 6-0 mauling of Sheffield United, whereas Gabriel Martinelli needed to go off in that sport too.
Arteta gained’t take any pointless dangers right here with Porto due on the Emirates on Tuesday, so whereas that duo ought to characteristic, choose Kai Havertz in your objective scorer choice. He has netted in every of the Gunners’ final three league video games, the one participant for whom that’s the case.
Over 10.5 Corners
Solely three of Brentford’s away matches this season haven’t hit double figures for corners. Certainly one of them was within the different half of north London, however there have been 11 of their matches on the Etihad and Stamford Bridge, 12 at Outdated Trafford, and 14 at Anfield.
The nook depend has been a bit extra erratic on the Emirates in 2023/24, however because the Bees’ two Premier League visits noticed 11 and 14, there may be more likely to be Over 10.5 Corners as soon as once more.
Over 3.5 Playing cards
The final 4 league conferences of those groups every noticed precisely two playing cards, and Arsenal at the moment sits backside of the highest flight for whole playing cards per sport in 2023/24 too.
There needs to be extra bookings right here. Solely three groups have acquired extra yellow playing cards on the street than Brentford and match referee Rob Jones has proven over 3.5 in 13 of his 15 Premier League matches this season. Among the many eight refs with not less than as many video games, that’s the very best hit fee for this wager. With Jonesy overseeing the Bees, Over 3.5 Playing cards seems an inevitability.
BET BUILDER
Arsenal -1
Each Groups to Rating
Kai Havertz to Rating
Over 10.5 Corners
Over 3.5 Playing cards
All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to vary.
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